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Prediction markets for UK Technology

Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.55%chance

218603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1773

938

Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?

Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

71.04%chance

742947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1774

956

Will Trump threaten to cancel AUKUS before 2029?

Feb 7, 8:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.89%chance

122597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1360

736

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.15%chance

152322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2570

389

Will UK children face a social media curfew before 2029?

Jun 9, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.3%chance

101832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1259

795

Will it be illegal to give a child an adult phone before 2036?

Oct 25, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.13%chance

6192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will the UK declare a special economic zone before 2035?

May 11, 1:55 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

45.67%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will a British Mach 5 Aircraft powered by a SABRE-derived engine fly before 2035?

Jul 16, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.08%chance

5121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Jan 3, 2:17 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will Russia destroy global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

Sep 27, 6:57 AMDec 31, 7:30 AM

11%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

91

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