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Prediction markets for Ukraine

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

9.52%chance

602338826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18705

4379

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.87%chance

634270683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16131

13632

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

683152226

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

61

21

11

5

1

1

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

37%chance

201130638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

777

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 29, 12:59 AM

17.65%chance

306100899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4921

829

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

Dec 30, 6:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.87%chance

15240267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5133

469

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?

Aug 17, 11:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.46%chance

13829610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3813

994

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Jun 17, 10:18 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

27.41%chance

26724133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3719

1543

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

30.71%chance

15222806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2999

1011

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

Jun 9, 5:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

15%chance

446918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

762

94

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.76%chance

373577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2678

1415

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.89%chance

301791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2060

1925

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