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Prediction markets for Ukrainian IT army

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

31

16

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

Conditinal on Crimea being taken by Ukranian army, will Russia avoid using nuclear weapons?

Dec 21, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.95%chance

472916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

958

Will Zelensky survive the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

90.09%chance

362912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1950

827

Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.85%chance

442338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1564

794

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Jan 1, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

13.33%chance

82124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2550

392

Will autonomous drone swarms kill over a thousand soldiers by the end of the Ukraine-Russia War?

Feb 8, 3:32 PMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

36.48%chance

17951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

611

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