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UNAIDS News
Prediction markets for UNAIDS
Prediction markets for UNAIDS
Will Joe Biden walk unaided to the helicopter on the South Lawn on his last day in office?
Aug 9, 7:43 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
92.4%
chance
31
6768
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3349
532
A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
Feb 2, 5:24 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
30.93%
chance
69
4721
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1046
826
A humanoid robot kills a human by 2030
Jan 21, 2:44 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
48%
chance
60
2678
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1228
749
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
Jul 26, 1:31 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15%
chance
24
2268
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2018
687
In what year will human-level AI first exist?
Apr 19, 10:47 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
8.23%
chance
18
1207
Option
Probability
YES
NO
1159
982
Will UNAIDS report that AIDS caused more deaths in 2025 than 2024?
Feb 17, 1:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
47.1%
chance
11
288
Option
Votes
YES
NO
106
94
Will UNAIDS report that AIDS caused more deaths in 2024 than in 2023?
Feb 17, 1:27 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
59.59%
chance
7
207
Option
Votes
NO
YES
121
82
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