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Prediction markets for Under

Will someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?

Jun 12, 6:07 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

80.4%chance

13219097

OptionVotes

NO

YES

20000

5064

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Apr 17, 3:47 PMDec 17, 9:59 PM

32.52%chance

11913386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1401

1256

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Mar 23, 12:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.95%chance

218466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4931

204

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.58%chance

193764

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1407

711

Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department

Nov 8, 12:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

33.46%chance

133602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1410

709

Will a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?

Jan 30, 10:03 PMJan 20, 6:59 PM

13.87%chance

272894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2191

100

Will a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?

Jan 8, 8:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

88%chance

182324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2600

239

Will high skill immigration to the USA become more restricted under President Trump?

Nov 15, 7:17 AMNov 22, 11:59 PM

43.34%chance

17459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

87

Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump?

Jun 11, 8:18 PMJan 21, 11:59 AM

49.24%chance

5230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

985

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.23%chance

4120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

919

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 72 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

53.48%chance

886

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Chungin 'Roy' Lee on 2026 Forbes 30 Under 30 list?

Apr 21, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.06%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

962

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