UNI News

Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

Aug 13, 7:21 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM

538486263

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

AOC (NY Representative)

Marco Rubio (US SoS)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Secretary of Transportation)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Donald Trump (45th President)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Cory Booker (NJ Senator)

Ruben Gallego (AZ Senator)

Tulsi Gabbard (DNI)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Stephen A. Smith

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)

Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Aug 18, 4:14 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

471238769

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Gavin Newsom

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Donald Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Jamie Dimon

Mark Kelly

Kamala Harris

None

Ron DeSantis

Andy Beshear

JB Pritzker

Nikki Haley

Michelle Obama

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

Tulsi Gabbard

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Walz

John Fetterman

Mark Cuban

Ruben Gallego

Ro Khanna

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Biden

Tim Scott

Katie Hobbs

Greg Abbott

Elizabeth Warren

Mike Johnson

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Jared Polis

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Elise Stefanik

Kristi Noem

Nicole Shanahan

Scott Alexander

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

George Clooney

Tom Hanks

Steven Pinker

Patrick Stewart

George R R Martin

Noah Smith

Matt Yglesias

Kanye West

Doug Burgum

Jeff Jackson

Glenn Youngkin

Barack Obama

Oprah Winfrey

Hillary Clinton

Joe Rogan

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.88%chance

66131656

OptionVotes

YES

36780

7465

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38%chance

18689109

OptionVotes

YES

11958

4561

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.11%chance

6280577

OptionVotes

YES

60251

3636

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

16273511

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.82%chance

9543935

OptionVotes

YES

1071

920

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27.82%chance

3118945

OptionVotes

YES

14347

7601

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.06%chance

1514136

OptionVotes

YES

11045

8973

Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?

Feb 6, 10:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38%chance

8113448

OptionVotes

YES

1183

349

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Jan 24, 6:24 AM

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Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

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