UNI News

Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Aug 18, 4:14 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

479259548

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Gretchen Whitmer

Ron DeSantis

JB Pritzker

Tucker Carlson

Mark Kelly

Donald Trump

None

Andy Beshear

Elizabeth Warren

Nikki Haley

Ted Cruz

Michelle Obama

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

Tulsi Gabbard

Jamie Dimon

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Walz

John Fetterman

Mark Cuban

Ruben Gallego

Ro Khanna

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Biden

Tim Scott

Katie Hobbs

Greg Abbott

Mike Johnson

Mike Pence

Jared Polis

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Elise Stefanik

Kristi Noem

Nicole Shanahan

Scott Alexander

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

George Clooney

Tom Hanks

Steven Pinker

Patrick Stewart

George R R Martin

Noah Smith

Matt Yglesias

Kanye West

Doug Burgum

Jeff Jackson

Glenn Youngkin

Barack Obama

Oprah Winfrey

Hillary Clinton

Joe Rogan

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.56%chance

72137446

OptionVotes

YES

31997

7675

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.18%chance

223117871

OptionVotes

YES

13138

3050

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

210106266

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York Congresswoman)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Mike Johnson (Speaker of the House)

Ro Khanna (California Congressman)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.31%chance

6783631

OptionVotes

YES

57797

3717

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

9945279

OptionVotes

YES

1262

800

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM

4.33%chance

2541018

OptionVotes

YES

47011

2129

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.61%chance

3519502

OptionVotes

YES

14866

7407

Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?

Feb 6, 10:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

53%chance

9014433

OptionVotes

YES

1299

208

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.3%chance

1614186

OptionVotes

YES

11095

8929

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Jan 24, 6:24 AM

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Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

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