UNI News

Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Aug 18, 4:14 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

487279412

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Tucker Carlson

Gretchen Whitmer

Donald Trump

None

Ron DeSantis

Andy Beshear

JB Pritzker

Elizabeth Warren

Nikki Haley

Michelle Obama

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

Tulsi Gabbard

Jamie Dimon

Mark Kelly

Donald Trump Jr.

John Fetterman

Mark Cuban

Ruben Gallego

Ro Khanna

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Biden

Tim Scott

Katie Hobbs

Greg Abbott

Mike Johnson

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Jared Polis

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Elise Stefanik

Kristi Noem

Nicole Shanahan

Scott Alexander

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

George Clooney

Tom Hanks

Steven Pinker

Patrick Stewart

George R R Martin

Noah Smith

Matt Yglesias

Kanye West

Doug Burgum

Jeff Jackson

Glenn Youngkin

Tim Walz

Barack Obama

Oprah Winfrey

Hillary Clinton

Joe Rogan

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.68%chance

73139147

OptionVotes

YES

31300

7709

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

44.58%chance

225118480

OptionVotes

YES

12590

3659

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

220110352

OptionProbability

JD Vance (Vice President)

Other

Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York Congresswoman)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Mike Johnson (Speaker of the House)

Ro Khanna (California Congressman)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.21%chance

6784562

OptionVotes

YES

59041

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Jan 24, 6:24 AM

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Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Who will win the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

Will Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

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