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Prediction markets for Union

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.6%chance

1313626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10535

9447

Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?

Feb 2, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.15%chance

392295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

907

Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?

Jan 12, 9:46 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

15.78%chance

281912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

781

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Jun 30, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.57%chance

421635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

955

Waymo available in European Union before 2027?

Apr 16, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.92%chance

171370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1427

701

Will India institutionalise same-sex marriage or civil unions before 2026?

Oct 17, 1:05 PMJan 31, 3:59 PM

16.77%chance

201263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1606

821

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

24.94%chance

191225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

946

Will the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?

May 3, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.46%chance

17953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

653

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?

Mar 31, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.75%chance

17407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1059

969

Will a majority of Democratic Congresspeople boycott any of Trump’s State of the Union addresses?

Mar 27, 4:46 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

35.69%chance

7352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

745

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

16284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

965

US whitecollar union membership reaches 10M by 2028

Mar 18, 7:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.42%chance

11238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

988

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