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Prediction markets for Union Build

Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

Apr 26, 3:42 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

262356

OptionProbability

USA

China

Russia

No country will do so

46

37

33

15

Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?

Jun 18, 3:36 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.53%chance

8695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

1280

Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?

Dec 2, 2:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.91%chance

13327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

50

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM

65.51%chance

10255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

73

Who will hold the Raeburn Shield at the end of 2026?

Dec 17, 3:29 AMDec 31, 3:21 AM

219

OptionProbability

England

France

New Zealand

Ireland

Australia

South Africa

Scotland

Fiji

Argentina

Italy

Other

12

11

10

10

10

9

9

7

7

7

7

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