Union Law News

By when will USB-C no longer be the standard charger for the EU?

Dec 30, 8:06 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54100

OptionProbability

2040

Other

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2029

2028

2025

2026

2027

When will the Brazilian National Data Protection Authority (ANPD) publish its first dataset on dados.gov.br?

Feb 8, 10:24 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

153309

OptionProbability

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.06%chance

122452

OptionVotes

YES

1729

578

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.74%chance

291508

OptionVotes

YES

1137

920

Will the Rockstar games workers gain union recognition before the release of GTAVI?

Dec 15, 11:25 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM

20.31%chance

91450

OptionVotes

YES

1981

505

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

May 20, 9:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33%chance

16603

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will Germany pass a law that allows a weekly maximum working time of 48 hours per week before the end of 2027?

May 12, 8:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.88%chance

9586

OptionVotes

YES

1359

736

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Jul 23, 3:49 AMDec 31, 10:33 PM

8277

OptionProbability

An anti-corruption protest with at least 10,000 attendees will take place in a Ukrainian city in July 2025

The law will be repealed or annulled in full by the end of 2025

Ukraine will receive a lower score in the 2026 edition of the Corruption Perceptions Index than in the 2024 edition

The European Commission will issue a formal statement expressing opposition to the law in July 2025

Donald Trump will describe Volodymyr Zelensky as "corrupt" in July 2025

Volodymyr Zelensky's trust rating will fall below 50% in a poll published by KIIS, Rating or Razumkov in 2025

The Ukrainian parliament's trust rating will fall below 10% in a poll published by Razumkov in 2025

The New York Times will publish an editorial criticising Volodymyr Zelensky by the end of August 2025

100

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

Feb 10, 6:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.66%chance

4201

OptionVotes

YES

269

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.56%chance

14166

OptionVotes

YES

999

996

Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035?

Aug 2, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.38%chance

484

OptionVotes

YES

121

What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?

Oct 6, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

110

OptionProbability

Germany withdraws from the European Union (Dexit)

Significant reduction in Germany's immigration and asylum intake

Abolition of the current Euro currency or major eurozone reform

Termination of German military or financial aid to Ukraine

Significant reversal or repeal of major German climate policies

Major restructuring of the German public broadcasting system

Deterioration of diplomatic relations with EU member states

Significant increase in domestic social or political unrest

Implementation of stricter border controls within the Schengen Area

No major structural changes to Germany's governance or foreign policy

Arrest political opponents, scientists, public health experts

Germany becomes totalitarian dictatorship

Defunct prediction markets globally worldwide

Germany goes back to 1933 era

Union Law News

Prediction markets for Union Law

Prediction markets for Union Law

Prediction markets for Union Law

By when will USB-C no longer be the standard charger for the EU?

When will the Brazilian National Data Protection Authority (ANPD) publish its first dataset on dados.gov.br?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will the Rockstar games workers gain union recognition before the release of GTAVI?

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

Will Germany pass a law that allows a weekly maximum working time of 48 hours per week before the end of 2027?

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035?

What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?

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