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Prediction markets for Unique

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.48%chance

412512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

949

Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?

Dec 13, 2:51 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.43%chance

292044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

706

How long will the streak of unique NBA champions last?

Jun 26, 1:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

91614

OptionProbability

At least 2027, 9 years or more

At least 2028, 10 years or more

At least 2029, 11 years or more

33

22

12

How many unique emoji will there be at the end of 2028?

May 24, 4:20 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

4542

OptionProbability

4100 - 4249

4400 - 4549

4250 - 4399

3950 - 4099

4550 - 4700

Above 4700

Below 3950

31

22

20

17

5

3

1

How many unique couples who do not reside in NH attend the Family Planning Weekend?

Jun 12, 2:50 AMAug 31, 3:50 AM

2511

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 3

Above 6

Above 9

Above 12

99

66

34

24

1

By the start of the 2031 NFL season, what will be the most amount of unique "Championship Belts" at one time?

May 15, 1:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2370

OptionProbability

4

5

Other

3

39

39

21

1

Next unique country Tetra visits after 11th June 2026

Jun 6, 3:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2277

OptionProbability

Other

🇪🇸 Spain

🇨🇦 Canada

🇮🇪 Ireland

🇱🇹 Lithuania

🇳🇿 New Zealand

🇮🇲 Isle of Man

🇩🇪 Germany

🇵🇱 Poland

🇮🇹 Italy

🇯🇪 Jersey

🇬🇬 Guernsey

🇮🇳 India

🇬🇮 Gibraltar

40

14

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

Will I reach 5k unique traders by EOY?

Jul 13, 12:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.91%chance

10195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"?

Jul 1, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.08%chance

13170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Is the Unique Games Conjecture true?

Feb 13, 5:15 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

65%chance

9100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

88

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Apr 10, 12:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

482

OptionProbability

Create your own questions

Resolve your own prediction markets

Other

Bounties for comments

Automated market maker (AMM)

Liquidity subsidy

Polls

Prediction market

22

20

13

11

9

9

9

6

Give me unique challenge

Jul 17, 2:24 PMJul 17, 9:59 PM

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