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Prediction markets for Unique

Will the Wordle-like game "Fermi Questions" reach 100,000 unique visitors by December 31, 2025?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

2.79%chance

20763044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14507

584

Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?

Dec 13, 2:51 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.43%chance

292044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

706

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

53.09%chance

29815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1250

674

What will be the unique trader bonus given to Yes/No market creator at the end of 2025?

Feb 24, 2:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8262

OptionProbability

More than 5 Mana per unique trader

Less than 5 Mana per unique trader

5 Mana per unique trader

75

12

12

Is the Unique Games Conjecture true?

Feb 13, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

9100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

88

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Apr 10, 12:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

482

OptionProbability

Create your own questions

Resolve your own prediction markets

Other

Bounties for comments

Automated market maker (AMM)

Liquidity subsidy

Polls

Prediction market

22

20

13

11

9

9

9

6

Will EVO 2026 surpass EVO 2025's unique competitors count?

Aug 3, 5:04 PMAug 10, 11:59 PM

45.66%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will EVO 2026 surpass EVO 2024's record of 10,240+ unique competitors in an esports tournament?

Aug 3, 5:02 PMAug 22, 5:01 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Next unique country Tetra visits after 15th November

Nov 15, 12:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Other

🇨🇦 Canada

🇮🇪 Ireland

🇱🇹 Lithuania

40

20

20

20

By the start of the 2031 NFL season, what will be the most amount of unique "Championship Belts" at one time?

May 15, 1:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

3

4

5

Other

25

25

25

25

Give me unique challenge

Jul 17, 2:24 PMJul 17, 9:59 PM

00

Make a script to check how long ago it has been since last new unique trader

Jul 23, 1:05 AMJul 23, 9:59 PM

00

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