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Unique News

Next unique country Tetra visits after 15th November

Nov 15, 12:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62671

OptionProbability

Other

🇳🇿 New Zealand

🇮🇪 Ireland

🇮🇲 Isle of Man

🇪🇸 Spain

🇮🇳 India

🇩🇪 Germany

🇨🇦 Canada

🇱🇹 Lithuania

🇵🇱 Poland

🇮🇹 Italy

🇯🇪 Jersey

🇬🇬 Guernsey

25

12

8

8

8

8

7

6

6

5

5

1

1

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.48%chance

412512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

949

Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?

Dec 13, 2:51 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.43%chance

292044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

706

Will my app have 2,500 unique visitors in the first week?

Feb 5, 12:45 PMApr 20, 11:45 AM

22%chance

17527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

By the start of the 2031 NFL season, what will be the most amount of unique "Championship Belts" at one time?

May 15, 1:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2370

OptionProbability

4

5

Other

3

39

39

21

1

Will this market get at least 50 unique traders before April?

Feb 22, 11:27 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

37.64%chance

16267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

Will this market get 50 unique traders by the end of March?

Mar 1, 2:18 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

44.52%chance

10115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Is the Unique Games Conjecture true?

Feb 13, 5:15 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

65%chance

9100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

88

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Apr 10, 12:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

482

OptionProbability

Create your own questions

Resolve your own prediction markets

Other

Bounties for comments

Automated market maker (AMM)

Liquidity subsidy

Polls

Prediction market

22

20

13

11

9

9

9

6

Will EVO 2026 surpass EVO 2025's unique competitors count?

Aug 3, 5:04 PMAug 10, 11:59 PM

45.66%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will EVO 2026 surpass EVO 2024's record of 10,240+ unique competitors in an esports tournament?

Aug 3, 5:02 PMAug 22, 5:01 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Give me unique challenge

Jul 17, 2:24 PMJul 17, 9:59 PM

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