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Prediction markets for Unique

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.48%chance

412512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

949

Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?

Dec 13, 2:51 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.43%chance

292044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

706

How long will the streak of unique NBA champions last?

Jun 26, 1:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

91663

OptionProbability

At least 2027, 9 years or more

At least 2028, 10 years or more

At least 2029, 11 years or more

33

22

13

Is the Unique Games Conjecture true?

Feb 13, 5:15 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

98.47%chance

14920

OptionVotes

NO

YES

941

17

How many unique emoji will there be at the end of 2028?

May 24, 4:20 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

4542

OptionProbability

4100 - 4249

4400 - 4549

4250 - 4399

3950 - 4099

4550 - 4700

Above 4700

Below 3950

31

22

20

17

5

3

1

By the start of the 2031 NFL season, what will be the most amount of unique "Championship Belts" at one time?

May 15, 1:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2370

OptionProbability

4

5

Other

3

39

39

21

1

Will I reach 5k unique traders by EOY?

Jul 13, 12:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.91%chance

10195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"?

Jul 1, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.08%chance

13170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Apr 10, 12:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

482

OptionProbability

Create your own questions

Resolve your own prediction markets

Other

Bounties for comments

Automated market maker (AMM)

Liquidity subsidy

Polls

Prediction market

22

20

13

11

9

9

9

6

What will be the next unique country Tetra visits after 5th November 2026?

Nov 5, 12:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15

OptionProbability

🇮🇹 Italy

Other

🇪🇸 Spain

58

22

20

Make a script to check how long ago it has been since last new unique trader

Jul 23, 1:05 AMJul 23, 9:59 PM

00

Give me unique challenge

Jul 17, 2:24 PMJul 17, 9:59 PM

00

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