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Prediction markets for United Kingdom

On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

Sep 23, 8:43 AMDec 31, 9:30 AM

6359798

OptionProbability

2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025

2026-06-30 / June 30, 2026

2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026

2027-12-31 / 31st December 2027

2028-12-31 / 31st December 2028

2029-12-31 / 31st December 2029

2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030

100

59

46

26

16

14

10

Will the United Kingdom lose any land in the 2020s? 🇬🇧🗺️✌️

Feb 18, 3:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

92.12%chance

469429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2215

52

Will White British People Become a Minority in the United Kingdom by 2060?

Sep 1, 3:01 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

64.17%chance

364484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

895

Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Aug 23, 9:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.52%chance

123469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

458

145

Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:07 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

37.59%chance

202040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1288

776

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Jun 30, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

431758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

908

Will Queen Elizabeth II be the last Queen of the United Kingdom?

May 28, 12:27 PMNov 11, 12:32 PM

56.98%chance

331679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

875

Will United Kingdom join BRICS before 2030?

Aug 31, 2:45 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

4.28%chance

191295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1982

907

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

Will the United Kingdom become a republic before Charles iii passed away?

Sep 9, 6:26 PMFeb 1, 3:59 AM

6.73%chance

291064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1597

886

Will a referendum be held on Welsh independence from the United Kingdom before 2030?

Aug 23, 9:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.18%chance

14761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1501

1026

Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2050?

Aug 23, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.65%chance

10286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

155

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