United Spirits News

Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 9, 5:49 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM

10.84%chance

659992

OptionVotes

YES

9602

5085

Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?

Mar 12, 8:05 PMJan 20, 8:49 PM

9.35%chance

406451

OptionVotes

YES

3114

321

What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?

Aug 24, 3:22 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

346089

OptionProbability

Raytheon / RTX

Boeing

OAN

Lockheed Martin

ExxonMobil

Northrop Grumman

General Dynamics

Palantir

Chevron

Newsmax

SpaceX

CNN

TikTok

The Washington Post

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)?

Oct 3, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.49%chance

475638

OptionVotes

YES

2881

1075

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

262000

OptionProbability

A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

Other

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?

Jul 19, 4:54 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

23.03%chance

281951

OptionVotes

YES

1828

547

Will a Historic Labor Strike occur in the United States before 2030?

May 4, 7:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.13%chance

10876

OptionVotes

YES

1639

610

Where will the "AI revolution" first take place?

Nov 6, 9:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26815

OptionProbability

United States

China

Other

United Kingdom

Singapore

India

European Union

Switzerland

Canada

South Korea

Japan

Israel

Australia

Russia

Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?

Jul 20, 6:26 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

23.05%chance

11415

OptionVotes

YES

174

US recognizes Taiwan by January 20, 2029?

Mar 30, 10:38 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.17%chance

11374

OptionVotes

YES

236

10 working UK small modular reactors by 2040?

Dec 2, 1:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.18%chance

6160

OptionVotes

YES

152

Will any major US airlines allow one free checked bag domestically by 2030?

Apr 25, 1:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.75%chance

7139

OptionVotes

YES

188

United Spirits News

Prediction markets for United Spirits

Prediction markets for United Spirits

Prediction markets for United Spirits

Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?

Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?

What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)?

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?

Will a Historic Labor Strike occur in the United States before 2030?

Where will the "AI revolution" first take place?

Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?

US recognizes Taiwan by January 20, 2029?

10 working UK small modular reactors by 2040?

Will any major US airlines allow one free checked bag domestically by 2030?

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