United Spirits News

Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?

Mar 12, 8:05 PMJan 20, 8:49 PM

8.46%chance

386062

OptionVotes

YES

3290

304

What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?

Aug 24, 3:22 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

345859

OptionProbability

Raytheon / RTX

OAN

Boeing

Lockheed Martin

Northrop Grumman

General Dynamics

Palantir

ExxonMobil

Chevron

Newsmax

SpaceX

CNN

TikTok

The Washington Post

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)?

Oct 3, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

44.8%chance

465390

OptionVotes

YES

2633

1338

Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 9, 5:49 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM

16.26%chance

134359

OptionVotes

YES

2270

441

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Sep 8, 6:24 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

17.67%chance

282733

OptionVotes

YES

2159

463

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

262000

OptionProbability

A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

Other

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

What political positions did Charlie Kirk's shooter support?

Sep 17, 6:06 AMJan 1, 6:41 AM

261554

OptionProbability

Puberty blockers for minors with gender dysphoria

Free speech and freedom of expression

Hate Speech Laws

Universal vote by mail

Single payer health care or Medicare for All

Mandatory menstrual leave (paid)

Universal background checks for firearm sales

Non-sectarian prayer in schools

Lower capital gains tax

Land Value Tax

Right-to-work laws

A physical wall at the southern border

Where will the "AI revolution" first take place?

Nov 6, 9:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25810

OptionProbability

United States

China

Other

Singapore

United Kingdom

India

European Union

Switzerland

Canada

South Korea

Japan

Israel

Australia

Russia

US recognizes Taiwan by January 20, 2029?

Mar 30, 10:38 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.17%chance

11374

OptionVotes

YES

236

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?

Jan 14, 11:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.66%chance

8140

OptionVotes

YES

135

If Conservatives win the 2025 U.K. general election, will an AI kill 10% of humans before 2032?

Jun 1, 2:26 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

10.3%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

176

United Spirits News

Prediction markets for United Spirits

Prediction markets for United Spirits

Prediction markets for United Spirits

Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?

What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)?

Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

What political positions did Charlie Kirk's shooter support?

Where will the "AI revolution" first take place?

US recognizes Taiwan by January 20, 2029?

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?

If Conservatives win the 2025 U.K. general election, will an AI kill 10% of humans before 2032?

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