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Prediction markets for United States Treasury

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.5%chance

66103875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

62487

1600

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

5.04%chance

168052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4379

232

$250 bill with Trump's face before 2028?

Oct 9, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.91%chance

303721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2597

385

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

112134

OptionProbability

USA Rare Earth

ExxonMobile

Chevron

Sunoco

GlobalFoundries

Boeing

Ford

Palantir

Tesla

AMD

United Health

Moderna

55

50

50

50

35

29

17

17

15

15

12

8

Will US take control of Strait of Hormuz before April 1st?

Mar 15, 5:52 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

5.83%chance

321475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

402

25

Will I touch a “2026” penny in 2026?

Feb 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM

17.55%chance

141436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2168

461

How many Trump cabinet members will leave in 2026?

Feb 24, 4:26 PMFeb 25, 7:59 AM

7391

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 2

Above 3

100

83

70

19

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

62

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM

38%chance

6169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

528

478

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Mar 22, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

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