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Prediction markets for United Technologies

Will Earth be a utopia for humans in the year 2100?

Feb 1, 3:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.4%chance

423903

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

833

Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?

Sep 29, 1:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20.45%chance

422271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

922

Will Trump threaten to cancel AUKUS before 2029?

Feb 7, 8:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.96%chance

91972

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1392

718

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

281702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

938

US president makes official announcement confirming UFOs or extraterrestrials before 2033?

Nov 16, 6:00 PMJan 7, 11:59 PM

25.28%chance

51511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1719

582

Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 1, 8:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.96%chance

351321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

897

Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?

Jan 26, 12:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79.02%chance

271175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1262

899

Will Robot workers be a major topic during the 2028 presidential debates in the United States?

Nov 10, 12:14 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

28.09%chance

161050

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

656

Will at least some AIs receive legal protections against cruelty in the U.S. before 2050?

Aug 6, 1:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.62%chance

21788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

968

Will 1% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US before the end of 2025, according to Gallup?

Dec 24, 11:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.5%chance

12599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

831

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

765

Will 25% of EU citizens be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?

May 1, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.11%chance

19383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

962

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