University Impact News

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

131206

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

Will Black Students Be Less Than 10% of the Ivy League Class of 2028?

Dec 2, 8:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

36.86%chance

12434

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:54 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

14.86%chance

9344

OptionVotes

YES

491

223

Polymarket exceeds $6B trading volume in June 2026?

Nov 20, 4:39 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

35.66%chance

10310

OptionVotes

YES

134

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Vs. The Super Mario Bros. Movie US/ WW Box Office

Feb 9, 9:39 AMAug 30, 10:59 PM

335

OptionProbability

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie > The Super Mario Bros. Movie, at Worldwide Box Office

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie > The Super Mario Bros. Movie, at US Box Office

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

Citation trends for the AdS/CFT paper

Oct 11, 3:18 PMOct 19, 3:59 AM

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

Help me become better at Computer Science

Oct 27, 10:43 AM

Moral praise of blame for a person should correspond only to that person’s level of selflessness.

Nov 7, 7:08 PM

University Impact News

Prediction markets for University Impact

Prediction markets for University Impact

Prediction markets for University Impact

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Will Black Students Be Less Than 10% of the Ivy League Class of 2028?

Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Polymarket exceeds $6B trading volume in June 2026?

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Vs. The Super Mario Bros. Movie US/ WW Box Office

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Citation trends for the AdS/CFT paper

Help me become better at Computer Science

Moral praise of blame for a person should correspond only to that person’s level of selflessness.

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