OptionProbability
Covid
Russia-Ukraine War
Brexit
Israel-Hamas War
US Withdrawal from Afghanistan
January 6th
LLMs
George Floyd Protests
Bitcoin
The Rise of China
Private Spaceflight
Violent repression of women in Iran
Russia's takeover of the US political establishment
New York v Trump 2024
Tigray War
The Epstein Files
BRICS Expansion
Meme stocks
Enshittification
98
97
88
82
78
75
63
62
57
54
51
40
21
19
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2622
381
Jose Ugarte
Estuardo Mazariegos
Chris Martin
Other
Jorge Nuno
Adriana Cabrera
Martha Sánchez
Elmer Roldan
Michelle Washington
Jorge Hernandez Rosas
68
23
2
1
Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)
12
105
95
100