OptionProbability
Tell someone to commit suicide on Manifold (resolves YES)
Have sex with a cisgender person
Get a job
Go 14 days without making a bet on Manifold
Be hospitalized
Willfully do a recreational drug other than caffeine, alcohol, marijuana, or nicotine
Accidentally break my Nintendo Switch 2 (must be my fault; does not include manufacturing defects, inevitable battery degradation, etc)
Fail to vote in an American election that I'm eligible to vote in
Leave the USA
Get a STD (and be aware of it)
Willfully eat an animal product (excluding human and excluding lab-grown meat)
Vote for a Republican in a general election (excluding nonpartisan and unopposed elections)
Rob a Baskin-Robbins ran by a Rob in robes
100
52
49
23
20
15
12
11
6
5
1
