UPS News

Broward Judge Allows Stand Your Ground Hearing for Miami-Dade Officer Facing Manslaughter in 2019 Miramar UPS Shootout Killing Two

7 months ago

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

US Domestic Policy

Tariffs

Economics

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

7 months ago

Business

United States

U.S. Banks, Markets Close for Labor Day as Retailers Stay Open

7 months ago

Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Aug 29, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98.96%chance

625661045

OptionVotes

YES

13577

540

If elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?

Jun 28, 4:42 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

20138606

OptionProbability

Trump publicly suggests, while in office, that he shouldn't have to leave

Trump leaves office when his term ends

Trump attempts something arguably coup-like (e.g. J6), but it fails

Trump supporters kill or hospitalise someone trying to prevent/protest him leaving

Trump leaves office early (e.g. via impeachment or he dies)

Trump remains in office after his term is up

Trump isn't elected (or fails to take office)

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.91%chance

12137769

OptionVotes

YES

2274

1931

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

67.43%chance

19637008

OptionVotes

YES

3008

1200

If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?

May 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2412123

OptionProbability

Brakes hit

Huge alignment effort

New AI paradigm

Slow and gradual capability gains in AI

Enhancing human minds and/or society

Capability limit in AI

Non-AI tech

Alignment relatively easy

Brakes not hit

Alignment unnecessary

Well-behaved AI with bad ends

Major capability limit in AI

Alignment extra hard

When will I do my first clean pull-up?

Jan 4, 12:18 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

97733

OptionProbability

Apr 2026

May 2026

Dec 2026 or later/never

Jun 2026

Mar 2026

Jul 2026

Aug 2026

Sep 2026

Nov 2026

Jan 2026

Feb 2026

Oct 2026

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

73.27%chance

554976

OptionVotes

YES

1644

560

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Jan 2, 9:38 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.46%chance

131749

OptionVotes

YES

1195

1194

Will this tweet hold up: Sinners will be — should be — a Broadway show by 2035

Mar 16, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.1%chance

81526

OptionVotes

YES

7454

4864

Will David Schneider-Joseph's bet about Beta Amyloids and Alzheimer's end up true within 12 years?

Aug 17, 10:05 AMDec 31, 11:04 AM

46.48%chance

291190

OptionVotes

YES

1225

915

will I wake up? [cryonics]

Sep 11, 3:26 AMFeb 1, 4:21 AM

11.53%chance

7797

OptionVotes

YES

5273

2278

Will the 2028 Presidential Election Winner Mog the Runner-up?

Feb 26, 2:28 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

58.66%chance

7345

OptionVotes

YES

1112

813

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Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

If elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?

When will I do my first clean pull-up?

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Will this tweet hold up: Sinners will be — should be — a Broadway show by 2035

Will David Schneider-Joseph's bet about Beta Amyloids and Alzheimer's end up true within 12 years?

will I wake up? [cryonics]

Will the 2028 Presidential Election Winner Mog the Runner-up?

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