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Prediction markets for US Army

Will Iran kill atleast 5 more American soldiers by end March

Mar 7, 10:49 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

17617414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

44.05%chance

589686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

887

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.83%chance

626437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

920

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

313748

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

535

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

Nov 8, 10:07 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

222960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

617

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.29%chance

231058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

864

Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Mar 16, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.8%chance

14971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

847

US Army

Apr 13, 9:29 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

20480

OptionProbability

NO

YES

333

322

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Jan 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.48%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

462

22

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.7%chance

8200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

105

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?

Mar 17, 2:03 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

62.84%chance

10117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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