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Prediction markets for US Army

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

44.05%chance

589686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

887

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.83%chance

586033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

934

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.8%chance

283258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

634

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

Nov 8, 10:07 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

222960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

617

How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM

201408

OptionProbability

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a week, less than a month

More than a month, less than a year

More than a day, less than a week

More than a decade

36

24

19

14

3

3

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.29%chance

231058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

864

US Army

Apr 13, 9:29 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

20480

OptionProbability

NO

YES

333

322

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Jan 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.48%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

462

22

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.08%chance

12289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

61

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.7%chance

8200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

105

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

78.05%chance

4129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

67

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