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Prediction markets for US Army

Will I think all AI hell broke loose in 2026?

Mar 29, 11:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.48%chance

14542903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2906

1796

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

44.05%chance

589686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

887

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.83%chance

626437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

920

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.32%chance

354705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

792

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

Nov 8, 10:07 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

222960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

617

Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Mar 16, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.69%chance

252374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1539

650

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.29%chance

231058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

864

US Army

Apr 13, 9:29 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

20480

OptionProbability

NO

YES

333

322

Will Baron Trump join the US army in 2026?

Mar 25, 9:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.8%chance

8384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

303

33

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

20%chance

13291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

62

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

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