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Prediction markets for US Army

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

46.78%chance

589636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

938

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.34%chance

545085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

882

Will China's navy still be the largest in the world in 2025?

Mar 6, 9:18 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

95.21%chance

154223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2509

847

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

263023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1622

929

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

Nov 8, 10:07 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

27.48%chance

212952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

616

Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?

May 16, 3:19 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

17.53%chance

252731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1888

183

How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM

191358

OptionProbability

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a month, less than a year

More than a week, less than a month

More than a day, less than a week

More than a decade

40

27

16

10

4

4

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.75%chance

22858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

906

US Army

Apr 13, 9:29 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

20480

OptionProbability

NO

YES

333

322

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.08%chance

12289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

61

Will israel strike lebanon by 31 December 2025 ?

Dec 14, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.47%chance

4102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

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