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Prediction markets for US Army

Will I think all AI hell broke loose in 2026?

Mar 29, 11:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.11%chance

18153679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2632

1846

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

46.35%chance

609746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

930

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.56%chance

626441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

916

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.32%chance

354705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

792

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

Nov 8, 10:07 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

222960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

617

Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Mar 16, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.19%chance

282839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1820

550

How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM

211413

OptionProbability

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a week, less than a month

More than a month, less than a year

More than a day, less than a week

More than a decade

36

24

19

14

3

3

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.76%chance

231071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

872

Will the war in Ukraine end by the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 9:35 PMDec 30, 11:00 PM

14562

OptionProbability

No

Yes

Yes, but Crimea,Donetsk,Luhansk etc. will be under Russia control.

Yes, all territories that Ukraine had before 2014 will be Ukraine again.

82

10

6

2

US Army

Apr 13, 9:29 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

20480

OptionProbability

NO

YES

333

322

Will Baron Trump join the US army in 2026?

Mar 25, 9:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.5%chance

8407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

22

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

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