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Prediction markets for US Bank

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.47%chance

66107676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

62796

1592

In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

Nov 3, 6:03 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

6271198

OptionProbability

2030-2039

after 2049 or never

2040-49

before 2030

36

25

21

18

What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?

Aug 24, 3:22 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

346089

OptionProbability

Raytheon / RTX

Boeing

OAN

Lockheed Martin

ExxonMobil

Northrop Grumman

General Dynamics

Palantir

Chevron

Newsmax

SpaceX

CNN

TikTok

The Washington Post

27

24

23

21

20

20

20

17

15

14

10

10

7

6

Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 12:00 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

9.92%chance

14872

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

33

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.59%chance

6415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4357

3816

Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028?

Oct 31, 2:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.12%chance

7372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

49

Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:57 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

44.4%chance

7349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

242

126

Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:59 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

11.37%chance

8243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:58 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

18.2%chance

6243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:58 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

17.85%chance

5219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

47

Will more central banks move their gold reserves out of the US?

Sep 15, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

79

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