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Prediction markets for US Bank

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.49%chance

66105741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

62621

1597

In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

Nov 3, 6:03 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

5569476

OptionProbability

2030-2039

after 2049 or never

before 2030

2040-49

36

32

19

13

Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 12:00 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

9.35%chance

14862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

32

Will 3 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:54 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

67%chance

14447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028?

Oct 31, 2:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.12%chance

7372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

49

Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:59 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

10.75%chance

8234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

35

Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:58 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

12.14%chance

5233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:58 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

11.82%chance

4209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:57 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

15.37%chance

5207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:56 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

19.25%chance

6169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Jan 2, 11:55 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

31%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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