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Prediction markets for US Bank

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.15%chance

5776632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39050

2561

Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:24 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

24.61%chance

5462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:23 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

32.2%chance

5381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028?

Oct 31, 2:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.12%chance

7372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

49

Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:26 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

18.26%chance

3341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:23 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

28.02%chance

5309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will 3 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:21 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

56.59%chance

4277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

242

126

Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:25 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

13.41%chance

2247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

39

Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:24 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

18.52%chance

3240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:26 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

14.79%chance

3174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

42

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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