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Top stories

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for US Census Bureau

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

77331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5565

1084

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13772

7261

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

173692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2603

1623

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM

64.6%chance

51548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

US population growth rate for 2025 will be

Sep 3, 4:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9878

OptionProbability

0.5% to 0.75%

0.25% to 0.5%

0.75% to 1.0%

0% to 0.25%

Negative (population decline)

Greater than 1.0%

62

36

1

1

1

0

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

May 3, 5:37 PMFeb 3, 4:59 AM

44.12%chance

19321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

844

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:35 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

57.41%chance

437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028?

Apr 7, 11:37 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.84%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 25 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?

Apr 7, 11:37 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

57.1%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 72% in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:39 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 72% in the year ending December 2028?

Apr 7, 11:39 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:36 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Economics
Business
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%
Authors
5
1 year ago

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