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Prediction markets for US Congress

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Jan 22, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.31%chance

2555029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40480

5753

Will the US Congress propose a Constitutional amendment by end of 2025?

Sep 5, 3:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.4%chance

214159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

930

872

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

13.96%chance

243463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2483

403

Will there be a US Sovereign Wealth Fund established by the federal government by the end of the 119th congress?

Nov 21, 6:49 PMJan 7, 4:59 AM

8.78%chance

132441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2067

52

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will a member of US congress physically attack another member of congress before 2026?

Nov 29, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

9662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

617

65

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Apr 2, 3:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.04%chance

9562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

227

Will the US Congress override a Trump veto before the mid-term elections in November 2026?

Mar 2, 2:10 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

7.35%chance

8382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

355

28

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.02%chance

15214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

928

Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?

Mar 22, 5:45 AMJan 4, 4:59 AM

6190

OptionProbability

119th

120th

Other

121th

118th

47

23

14

13

4

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

56.06%chance

9119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

958

If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?

Jan 31, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.79%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

95

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