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Prediction markets for US Congress

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

13.96%chance

243463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2483

403

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?

Jan 12, 9:27 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

22705

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

52

48

Will Hunter Biden run for US Congress or President during his lifetime?

Jun 5, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.45%chance

12631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1476

677

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Apr 2, 3:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.04%chance

9562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

227

Will the US Congress override a Trump veto before the mid-term elections in November 2026?

Mar 2, 2:10 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

6%chance

10485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

67.14%chance

10419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

844

US Congress members fight with deadly weapons in Congress before 2035.

Jan 8, 6:33 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

9.88%chance

7388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

121

Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?

Mar 22, 5:45 AMJan 4, 4:59 AM

7380

OptionProbability

119th

120th

Other

121th

118th

79

10

6

4

1

Will any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?

Jan 15, 9:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.17%chance

10247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

139

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.35%chance

15231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

933

If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?

Jan 31, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

6121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

97

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