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Prediction markets for US Congress

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

11.81%chance

253713

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2733

366

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

27.59%chance

161291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1714

477

Will Hunter Biden run for US Congress or President during his lifetime?

Jun 5, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.35%chance

14866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1480

676

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Apr 2, 3:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.04%chance

9562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

227

US Congress members fight with deadly weapons in Congress before 2035.

Jan 8, 6:33 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

9.88%chance

7388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

121

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.43%chance

16281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

920

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

72

59

45

Will any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?

Jan 15, 9:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.17%chance

10247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

139

If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?

Jan 31, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

6121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

97

Will the US Congress pass universal pre-K legislation by 2032?

Dec 26, 4:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

81

Will US congress pass a law that prohibits the states from prohibiting abortion before 2050?

Jan 30, 9:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53.51%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

101

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