US Congress News

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

13.96%chance

243463

OptionVotes

YES

2483

403

What AI regulations will the US Congress pass into law before January 3, 2027? [ADD ANSWERS]

Feb 17, 9:01 PMJan 4, 7:59 AM

211953

OptionProbability

Restrictions on deepfake audio, images, or videos of real people

Restrictions on pornographic deepfakes

A classification system of AI applications into at least two different risk categories, with different non-empty regulations on each

Increased liability for harms caused by AI technology

Restrictions on training models on copyrighted material

Restrictions on AI models above a certain size or amount of compute

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

1199

834

Will the US Congress pass a bill nationally protecting abortion during the 119th Congress (2025-27)?

Jul 26, 4:17 PMJan 4, 4:59 AM

2.67%chance

4704

OptionVotes

YES

604

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Apr 2, 3:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.04%chance

9562

OptionVotes

YES

314

227

US Congress members fight with deadly weapons in Congress before 2035.

Jan 8, 6:33 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

9.88%chance

7388

OptionVotes

YES

190

121

Will any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?

Jan 15, 9:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.17%chance

10247

OptionVotes

YES

243

139

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.35%chance

15231

OptionVotes

YES

1177

933

If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?

Jan 31, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.27%chance

6119

OptionVotes

YES

201

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

56.06%chance

9119

OptionVotes

YES

1029

958

Will the US Congress pass universal pre-K legislation by 2032?

Dec 26, 4:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

496

OptionVotes

YES

164

Will US congress pass a law that prohibits the states from prohibiting abortion before 2050?

Jan 30, 9:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53.51%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

115

101

US Congress News

Prediction markets for US Congress

Prediction markets for US Congress

Prediction markets for US Congress

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

What AI regulations will the US Congress pass into law before January 3, 2027? [ADD ANSWERS]

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Will the US Congress pass a bill nationally protecting abortion during the 119th Congress (2025-27)?

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

US Congress members fight with deadly weapons in Congress before 2035.

Will any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Will the US Congress pass universal pre-K legislation by 2032?

Will US congress pass a law that prohibits the states from prohibiting abortion before 2050?

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