US Court of Appeals News

Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?

Aug 19, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.02%chance

312131

OptionVotes

YES

1474

843

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.78%chance

222111

OptionVotes

YES

2078

835

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Mar 25, 4:26 AMJan 1, 1:00 PM

20.23%chance

22711

OptionVotes

YES

1323

806

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

38.69%chance

15423

OptionProbability

YES

1070

804

Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?

Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM

59.42%chance

5410

OptionVotes

YES

1210

826

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Jul 14, 2:29 PMApr 15, 10:59 PM

4188

OptionProbability

Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB

Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment

Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01

Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01

Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

Sep 14, 4:17 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

43.09%chance

12165

OptionVotes

YES

209

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.83%chance

4102

OptionVotes

YES

156

Will the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Apr 6, 8:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

8100

OptionVotes

YES

200

US Court of Appeals News

Prediction markets for US Court of Appeals

Prediction markets for US Court of Appeals

Prediction markets for US Court of Appeals

Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

Will the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

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