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US Department of Commerce News
Prediction markets for US Department of Commerce
Prediction markets for US Department of Commerce
Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?
Jun 16, 6:56 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
14.63%
chance
27
33820
Option
Votes
YES
NO
24158
4139
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
37.25%
chance
25
7899
Option
Votes
YES
NO
12989
7710
Will the US government force another frontier AI model shutdown for allied users by mid-2027?
Jul 17, 11:52 AM
Jun 29, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
5
88
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will Commerce impose model-level export controls on a second AI company before 2027?
Aug 18, 3:44 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
38.93%
chance
4
70
Option
Votes
YES
NO
125
80
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