US FDA News
Prediction markets for US FDA
[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.51%chance
215857
OptionVotes
5765
4833
Conditional on an “FDA for AI” being established in the US, who will head it?
Oct 24, 11:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
202370
OptionProbability
64
6
5
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?
Oct 19, 12:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.34%chance
272080
OptionVotes
1501
850
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
Jan 11, 2:26 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
15.4%chance
6680
OptionVotes
183
55
OptionVotes
1646
911
Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?
Oct 24, 3:32 AMDec 31, 3:01 PM
21%chance
10384
OptionVotes
1063
957
Will the FDA limit microplastic amounts for food by 2028
Dec 16, 12:44 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
14.33%chance
10290
OptionVotes
313
60
[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?
Oct 12, 10:28 PMJun 2, 9:00 AM
15.79%chance
5156
OptionVotes
219
69
OptionVotes
175
164
Will the US FDA approve topical finasteride to treat male pattern baldness by 2034?
Sep 16, 11:59 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM
72.55%chance
762
OptionVotes
201
121
OptionVotes
125
80