US FDA News

CheckMate 8HW Shows Ipilimumab Plus Nivolumab Improves PFS in Metastatic CRC; Fruquintinib, SIR-Spheres Y-90, and Novel Therapies Advance Cancer Care

17 hours ago

Conditional on an “FDA for AI” being established in the US, who will head it?

Oct 24, 11:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

202320

OptionProbability

Other

Paul Christiano

Jason Matheny

Max Tegmark

David Barnes

Alka Patel

Natasha Crampton

Yoshua Bengio

Ajeya Cotra

Chris Olah

Neel Nanda

Yann Le Cun

Geoffrey Hinton

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Timnit Gebru

Margaret Mitchell

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 12:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.34%chance

272080

OptionVotes

YES

1501

850

Will a vaccine for Lyme disease be available to the US public by the end of 2025?

Aug 10, 11:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.39%chance

261990

OptionVotes

YES

2446

536

Ozempic approval is revoked or withdrawn before 2031

May 27, 4:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.24%chance

14678

OptionVotes

YES

1646

911

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

Oct 24, 3:32 AMDec 31, 3:01 PM

21%chance

10384

OptionVotes

YES

1063

957

will the newly-FDA-approved treatments for Sickle Cell Disease be accessible by EOY 2025?

Dec 8, 9:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.14%chance

8158

OptionVotes

YES

161

132

[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?

Oct 12, 10:28 PMJun 2, 9:00 AM

15.79%chance

5156

OptionVotes

YES

219

Will Nootropics Depot ever sell piracetam again?

Oct 16, 2:38 AMOct 23, 5:59 AM

50.3%chance

999

OptionVotes

YES

175

164

Will the FDA limit microplastic amounts for food by 2028

Dec 16, 12:44 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

53.01%chance

990

OptionVotes

YES

146

113

Will Suzetrigine/VX-548 (non-opioid painkiller) be prescribed to >500k patients in 2025?

Sep 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.86%chance

275

OptionVotes

YES

1023

977

Will the US FDA approve topical finasteride to treat male pattern baldness by 2034?

Sep 16, 11:59 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

72.55%chance

762

OptionVotes

YES

201

121

Will the FDA update their regulation on the labeling of trans fat content ≤0.5 g to "Trans Fat - 0 g" by 2026?

Apr 22, 3:24 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.52%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

140

104

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Aug 3, 2025
Aug 3, 2025
Health
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CheckMate 8HW Shows Ipilimumab Plus Nivolumab Improves PFS in Metastatic CRC; Fruquintinib, SIR-Spheres Y-90, and Novel Therapies Advance Cancer Care
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17 hours ago

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Conditional on an “FDA for AI” being established in the US, who will head it?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will a vaccine for Lyme disease be available to the US public by the end of 2025?

Ozempic approval is revoked or withdrawn before 2031

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

will the newly-FDA-approved treatments for Sickle Cell Disease be accessible by EOY 2025?

[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?

Will Nootropics Depot ever sell piracetam again?

Will the FDA limit microplastic amounts for food by 2028

Will Suzetrigine/VX-548 (non-opioid painkiller) be prescribed to >500k patients in 2025?

Will the US FDA approve topical finasteride to treat male pattern baldness by 2034?

Will the FDA update their regulation on the labeling of trans fat content ≤0.5 g to "Trans Fat - 0 g" by 2026?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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