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Prediction markets for US Federal Reserve

Trump impose large tariffs in first year?

Oct 18, 11:16 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

99.57%chance

16081897071

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246473

3311

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.54%chance

3845382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27689

3612

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will the US Federal Government Acquire Bitcoin in 2025?

Jan 2, 9:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.51%chance

195128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

(When) will there be a significant change to timekeeping in the US?

Oct 21, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

122520

OptionProbability

Not before 2030

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2023

2024

39

16

15

12

9

8

1

1

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

231222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

621

Will the US Federal Reserve issue any rate cuts from May 2025 to end of 2025?

Apr 27, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.42%chance

211158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

276

36

Will the Federal Reserve exist and retain it's current level of independence by the end of Trump's term.

Nov 11, 3:49 PMFeb 19, 6:59 AM

47.28%chance

18728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

95

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Mar 29, 6:56 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

2.66%chance

6581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

731

112

Will Jay Powell still be chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20th, 2026?

Apr 23, 5:49 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

84.07%chance

12561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

230

44

Before 2026, will any government entity in the US announce they are investigating David Sacks?

Mar 3, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.95%chance

7305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

319

31

Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?

Mar 22, 9:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

59.46%chance

755

OptionVotes

NO

YES

234

172

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