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Prediction markets for US Federal Reserve

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.36%chance

48132685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85011

1176

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

52.48%chance

8912775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

231222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

621

Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023-2025?

Apr 29, 12:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

81108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1056

15

Will the Federal Reserve exist and retain it's current level of independence by the end of Trump's term.

Nov 11, 3:49 PMFeb 19, 6:59 AM

31.85%chance

211041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

68

Will canadian dollars drop below $0.70 usd before June 2026

Oct 24, 2:46 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

55.17%chance

7876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

901

Will Jay Powell still be chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20th, 2026?

Apr 23, 5:49 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

95.81%chance

12852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

478

21

What Big Moves will European Union make before midnight Christmas Eve 2034 (add)

Oct 7, 10:37 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

10601

OptionProbability

Add country(ies)

Relax unanimity requirements

Create Armed forces

Create Reserve like(ish) the US Federal Reserve

Remove a countries voting rights (even for a period)

Expel a country(ies)

Become a country

65

59

52

50

40

32

8

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Mar 29, 6:56 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

4%chance

7588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

511

120

Before 2026, will any government entity in the US announce they are investigating David Sacks?

Mar 3, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.85%chance

7501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

303

33

US passes $500B+ "AI unemployment" stimulus by 2029?

Nov 26, 3:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.89%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

38

Will you use Truth Predict when it goes online?

Nov 3, 2:27 PMDec 31, 2:26 PM

20%chance

4144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

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