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US Gold News

Will Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?

Jan 3, 9:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.35%chance

419232164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2549

393

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8553514

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

British Pound (GBP)*

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Paperclips

Gold (Au)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Ethereum (ETH)*

TRUMP

Manifold Mana

65

33

22

14

12

8

8

8

7

6

6

6

5

4

3

1

Will Germany withdraw its gold from US vaults?

Jan 25, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.44%chance

262119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2176

460

Nicki Minaj performs at the Kennedy Center during Trump's current presidential term

Jan 29, 6:21 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

26.32%chance

181654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1673

598

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

Mar 25, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

31.02%chance

8917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1491

671

Gold price EOY 2026

Oct 19, 12:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17906

OptionProbability

$4,500 - $4,999

$5,000 - $5,499

$4,000 - $4,499

$5,500 - $5,999

Above $6,000

$3,500 - $3,999

Below $3,000

$3,000 - $3,499

26

25

16

15

11

5

1

1

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Mar 29, 6:56 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

3.25%chance

10823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

614

116

If the US Women were considered a country, will they be in the Top 3 for the gold medal count at the 2028 Olympics?

Aug 11, 5:35 PMAug 19, 6:59 AM

68.84%chance

5500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

673

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.43%chance

16281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

920

Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)

Feb 27, 10:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

4145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

924

Will more central banks move their gold reserves out of the US?

Sep 15, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

79

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

33.17%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

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