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US Gold News

Will Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?

Jan 3, 9:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.67%chance

385193399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

840

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7443529

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Gold (Au)

Ethereum (ETH)*

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

Paperclips

Manifold Mana

TRUMP

57

31

24

8

8

7

6

6

5

5

4

4

3

2

2

Will Germany withdraw its gold from US vaults?

Jan 25, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

191636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2065

484

Nicki Minaj performs at the Kennedy Center during Trump's current presidential term

Jan 29, 6:21 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

22.18%chance

171354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1873

534

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

Mar 25, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

31.02%chance

8917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1491

671

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Mar 29, 6:56 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

3.25%chance

9803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

614

116

Will federal law ban individuals from mining or prospecting for gold in the US by April 2026?

Mar 22, 6:28 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

4.88%chance

8548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

621

42

If the US Women were considered a country, will they be in the Top 3 for the gold medal count at the 2028 Olympics?

Aug 11, 5:35 PMAug 19, 6:59 AM

68.84%chance

5500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

673

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.35%chance

15231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

933

Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)

Feb 27, 10:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

4145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

924

Will the US Mint issue a gold coin with Trump’s likeness by 4th July, 2026?

Mar 23, 9:40 AMJul 3, 11:59 PM

33%chance

677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

24

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

33.17%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

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