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Prediction markets for US House of Representatives

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

93%chance

10472209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3646

274

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

7%chance

7560817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3646

274

Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:51 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

4.97%chance

8551209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4373

229

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

62.71%chance

529836

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1297

771

Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections?

Nov 16, 6:47 AMJan 4, 5:59 AM

2%chance

159498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7001

143

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.1%chance

345484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2127

470

After the 2026 elections, how many elected US House representatives will identify as Socialist or Communist?

Jul 21, 4:24 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

51401

OptionProbability

7 - 8

5 - 6

9 - 10

3 - 4

11 - 12

13 - 14

15 or more

1 - 2

0

23

21

15

10

9

7

6

5

4

Will anyone be impeached by the US House of Representatives in 2027?

Sep 16, 10:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.52%chance

11886

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2681

1691

Will the Democratic and Republican parties still be the two main parties by 2032?

Apr 24, 2:29 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

88.43%chance

13621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1393

893

Has a current US Senator or House Representative said the N-word?

Jan 22, 3:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3310

OptionProbability

Other

Cory Booker

Maxine Waters

Bernie Sanders

Hakeem Jeffries

98

1

1

0

0

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Oct 19, 12:12 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?

Jul 28, 4:48 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

38.18%chance

5110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

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