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Prediction markets for US House of Representatives

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

88%chance

4819590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2709

369

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

11.6%chance

2914084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2761

362

Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:51 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

5.31%chance

5213921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4223

237

Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections?

Nov 16, 6:47 AMJan 4, 5:59 AM

2.68%chance

138521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6024

166

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.44%chance

257148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5297

189

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

60.05%chance

396679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

816

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.38%chance

176141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5347

187

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.54%chance

294897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2096

477

Will the Democratic and Republican parties still be the two main parties by 2032?

Apr 24, 2:29 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

88.43%chance

13621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1393

893

Has a current US Senator or House Representative said the N-word?

Jan 22, 3:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3310

OptionProbability

Other

Cory Booker

Maxine Waters

Bernie Sanders

Hakeem Jeffries

98

1

1

0

0

Any Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term?

Jan 15, 12:40 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

55.42%chance

7198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Oct 19, 12:12 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

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