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Prediction markets for US March

Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of March?

Feb 28, 2:09 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

8.83%chance

648161889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2835

624

ICE kills US citizen by end of March 2026

Feb 12, 5:59 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

8820415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3053

689

By March 2026, will 3+ prominent US politicians advocate for banning open-weight AI models?

Sep 20, 5:51 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

7.52%chance

6117507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3506

285

Will US average gas price exceed $4/gallon in March 2026?

Mar 1, 1:23 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

80.66%chance

826282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

208

41

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? [Polymarket]

Mar 14, 12:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

9.2%chance

255486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3098

471

If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

Jan 15, 3:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.13%chance

542754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

12.87%chance

191907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2601

384

Will a former US president accuse Trump of interfering with the 2026 mid-term elections, before March 2027?

Feb 26, 9:17 PMMar 1, 1:00 AM

29.91%chance

81470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2333

1727

US March unemployment: up, flat, or down?

Mar 19, 8:05 AMApr 4, 8:30 AM

201168

OptionProbability

Up

Down

Flat

55

33

12

Will the US try to capture or blockade kharg island before end of March?

Mar 13, 9:45 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

37.27%chance

15776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will ChatGPT be the top free app in the Apple app store on March 31, 2026? (US)

Jan 7, 5:00 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

70.71%chance

21456

OptionVotes

NO

YES

365

257

Will a federal "Major Disaster Declaration" be issued for any US state due to severe weather by March 30th 11:59 PM EST

Mar 9, 11:26 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

14.77%chance

6342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

440

114

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