US Supreme Court News
Prediction markets for US Supreme Court
Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?
Aug 22, 11:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
6.24%chance
12966236
OptionVotes
20771
3683
Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?
Feb 22, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
46.49%chance
8816876
OptionVotes
1170
673
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.37%chance
328030
OptionVotes
6565
1811
US Supreme Court upholds Colorado's conversion therapy ban in Chiles v Salazar?
Oct 7, 6:35 PMJul 31, 6:19 PM
6.8%chance
194718
OptionVotes
3703
270
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Jan 23, 12:36 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
243313
OptionProbability
99
99
98
92
49
42
34
31
31
30
29
20
14
10
6
US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox?
Jun 11, 2:25 PMDec 31, 3:21 PM
87.98%chance
152342
OptionVotes
2705
370
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
Jan 30, 6:22 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
15.04%chance
271481
OptionVotes
1030
976
Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM
59.79%chance
91241
OptionVotes
1219
820
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 5:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10775
OptionProbability
66
24
9
5
4
4
4
3
3
Will an age limit be placed on the US Supreme Court before 2030?
Jan 11, 6:30 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
4.61%chance
10573
OptionVotes
557
181
Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
Feb 21, 1:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.06%chance
18526
OptionVotes
1292
1016
Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election appoint a Supreme Court Justice before 2029
Dec 18, 9:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
81.39%chance
9301
OptionVotes
280
127