US Tech News

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.32%chance

8821179

OptionVotes

YES

13505

8680

Technical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029

Feb 11, 12:05 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

20.84%chance

274602

OptionVotes

YES

1949

513

Will any big tech ex-employee become President of the US before 2040?

Sep 22, 11:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.96%chance

21518

OptionVotes

YES

1022

926

Which US tech giant ( by market cap ) will fall before the end of 2028 ?

Jan 17, 8:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19467

OptionProbability

Other

Tesla

Google

US tech companies replaceable in the EU before 2031?

Apr 5, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.29%chance

15337

OptionVotes

YES

167

AI reduces US tech workforce by 20% before 2029?

May 10, 2:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.82%chance

15260

OptionVotes

YES

165

By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined?

Nov 23, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11%chance

9211

OptionVotes

YES

311

173

Will tech bros turn the US into an open oligarchy / plutocracy?

Jan 19, 5:56 PMFeb 26, 10:59 PM

51.98%chance

4161

OptionVotes

YES

1040

961

Validation: Do universities investing in technology transfer via patenting lose money?

Sep 14, 8:19 PMJan 1, 8:36 PM

2110

OptionProbability

Published results based on paper's methodology for at least one additional US research university

"Vast majority" (>=80%) of US research universities show strongly negative (<=-50%) tech transfer via patenting ROI

Tech transfer via patenting ROI is positive across all US research universities

US tech employment drops 10% from 2025 value in which year?

May 19, 3:47 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

2105

OptionProbability

2026-2030

2031-2035

2036-2040

2041-2045

2046-2050

After 2050

Will a Big Tech CEO run for president of the US by 2032

Aug 28, 7:51 PMNov 2, 10:59 PM

43.64%chance

983

OptionVotes

YES

715

706

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Jan 3, 5:25 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

46.54%chance

282

OptionVotes

YES

300

US Tech News

Prediction markets for US Tech

Prediction markets for US Tech

Prediction markets for US Tech

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Technical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029

Will any big tech ex-employee become President of the US before 2040?

Which US tech giant ( by market cap ) will fall before the end of 2028 ?

US tech companies replaceable in the EU before 2031?

AI reduces US tech workforce by 20% before 2029?

By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined?

Will tech bros turn the US into an open oligarchy / plutocracy?

Validation: Do universities investing in technology transfer via patenting lose money?

US tech employment drops 10% from 2025 value in which year?

Will a Big Tech CEO run for president of the US by 2032

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

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