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Top stories

Israel Sends Influencers as Hospital Strike Kills Gaza Journalists Amid Media Ban

Israel Sends Influencers as Hospital Strike Kills Gaza Journalists Amid Media Ban

Authors

13

10 months ago

Prediction markets for US

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

10041276790

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Marco Rubio

Jon Ossoff

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Tucker Carlson

Ron DeSantis

Mark Kelly

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Andy Beshear

JB Pritzker

No 2028 Election

Thomas Massie

Steve Bannon

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Tulsi Gabbard

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Tim Walz

Mike Gallagher

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

Elon Musk

19

16

14

14

7

6

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1541227767

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

67

32

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.2%chance

619656382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5632

4083

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

19.59%chance

363599059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177418

70185

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

194149424

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

60

39

1

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.95%chance

13094962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27170

3686

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.05%chance

25072880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7852

5623

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

39.04%chance

16270938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11980

8462

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

35.64%chance

7262178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

946

Will someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?

Jun 12, 6:07 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

83.66%chance

14024376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

22394

4541

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.43%chance

12322815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3710

1445

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

66.51%chance

157268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13935

7254

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