OptionProbability
US Dollar (USD)*
Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*
Euro (EUR)*
Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)
British Pound (GBP)*
Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)
Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)
Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)
Bitcoin (BTC)*
Paperclips
Gold (Au)
Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)
Worldcoin (WLD)*
Ethereum (ETH)*
TRUMP
Manifold Mana
65
33
22
12
8
7
6
5
4
3
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1385
915
434
23
196
152
278
36
1000
980
Under $68k
$68k to under $72k
$72k to under $76k
$76k to under $80k
$80k to under $84k
$84k or higher
17