UTI News

Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?

Jul 9, 6:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.91%chance

122179

OptionVotes

YES

1554

232

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

Nov 21, 2:46 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.81%chance

321997

OptionVotes

YES

1068

967

Will a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?

Jan 18, 7:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.33%chance

291385

OptionVotes

YES

1026

849

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Feb 21, 8:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10%chance

171308

OptionVotes

YES

1022

972

How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2026?

Feb 14, 3:41 AMMay 1, 3:59 AM

71105

OptionProbability

30 GW to 45 GW

45 GW to 60 GW

<30 GW

60 GW to 75 GW

>75 GW

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Mar 10, 10:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.52%chance

16546

OptionVotes

YES

1035

966

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 3:52 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10221

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2025-2027

Beyond 2030 (or never)

Before the end of 2024

When will the default term of a U.S. utility patent first be anything other than 20 years?

Sep 1, 3:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1154

OptionProbability

2036 or later

2031-2035

2026-2030

2025 or earlier

By 2050, will any world leader have advocated for "utilitarian Von Neumann machines"?

Jun 19, 1:14 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

48.54%chance

7132

OptionVotes

YES

Will any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?

Apr 2, 10:12 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.65%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

175

Will Ann Arbor Michigan have a municipal electric utility by the end of 2029?

Dec 1, 1:28 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

65%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Option 1: Team A (The Firebrands: Sifuna/Babu/Arati/Orengo) - Resolves if Sifuna remains SG or ODM officially supports a presidential candidate (even from another party, e.g., Kalonzo Musyoka or Fred Matiang'i)with a nod from the firebrands

Option 2: Team B (The Broad-based: Wanga/Joho/Mbadi) - Resolves if a Team B member becomes SG or the party officially joins the Government coalition for 2027.

Option 3: Add names to complement your Team or suggest your prefered team formation and alignment

UTI News

Prediction markets for UTI

Prediction markets for UTI

Prediction markets for UTI

Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

Will a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2026?

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

When will the default term of a U.S. utility patent first be anything other than 20 years?

By 2050, will any world leader have advocated for "utilitarian Von Neumann machines"?

Will any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?

Will Ann Arbor Michigan have a municipal electric utility by the end of 2029?

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

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