UTI News

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

Nov 21, 2:46 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

4.64%chance

3612242

OptionVotes

YES

3272

766

Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?

Jul 9, 6:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.27%chance

132229

OptionVotes

YES

1604

211

Will a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?

Jan 18, 7:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.33%chance

291385

OptionVotes

YES

1026

849

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Feb 21, 8:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10%chance

171308

OptionVotes

YES

1022

972

How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2026?

Feb 14, 3:41 AMMay 1, 3:59 AM

111278

OptionProbability

30 GW to 45 GW

45 GW to 60 GW

<30 GW

60 GW to 75 GW

>75 GW

Donald Trump utilisera-t-il la bombe nucléaire contre l' Iran pour gagner la guerre ?

Apr 1, 11:36 AMApr 1, 11:35 AM

3.66%chance

61198

OptionVotes

YES

513

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Mar 10, 10:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

34%chance

17623

OptionVotes

YES

1043

865

Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?

Dec 18, 1:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.64%chance

12516

OptionVotes

YES

223

Will an "data center utility cost protection" bill like the Guaranteeing Rate Insulation Act become law in 2026?

Jul 24, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.43%chance

9214

OptionVotes

YES

253

When will the default term of a U.S. utility patent first be anything other than 20 years?

Sep 1, 3:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1154

OptionProbability

2036 or later

2031-2035

2026-2030

2025 or earlier

By 2050, will any world leader have advocated for "utilitarian Von Neumann machines"?

Jun 19, 1:14 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

48.54%chance

7132

OptionVotes

YES

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Option 1: Team A (The Firebrands: Sifuna/Babu/Arati/Orengo) - Resolves if Sifuna remains SG or ODM officially supports a presidential candidate (even from another party, e.g., Kalonzo Musyoka or Fred Matiang'i)with a nod from the firebrands

Option 2: Team B (The Broad-based: Wanga/Joho/Mbadi) - Resolves if a Team B member becomes SG or the party officially joins the Government coalition for 2027.

Option 3: Add names to complement your Team or suggest your prefered team formation and alignment

UTI News

Prediction markets for UTI

Prediction markets for UTI

Prediction markets for UTI

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?

Will a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2026?

Donald Trump utilisera-t-il la bombe nucléaire contre l' Iran pour gagner la guerre ?

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?

Will an "data center utility cost protection" bill like the Guaranteeing Rate Insulation Act become law in 2026?

When will the default term of a U.S. utility patent first be anything other than 20 years?

By 2050, will any world leader have advocated for "utilitarian Von Neumann machines"?

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

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