Utilities News

Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?

Jul 9, 6:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.27%chance

132229

OptionVotes

YES

1604

211

Will a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?

Jan 18, 7:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.33%chance

291385

OptionVotes

YES

1026

849

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Feb 21, 8:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10%chance

171308

OptionVotes

YES

1022

972

How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2026?

Feb 14, 3:41 AMMay 1, 3:59 AM

111278

OptionProbability

30 GW to 45 GW

45 GW to 60 GW

<30 GW

60 GW to 75 GW

>75 GW

Will a self-replicating space probe capable of exploring and utilizing resources be created before 2040?

Mar 17, 3:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19%chance

12637

OptionVotes

YES

240

139

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Mar 10, 10:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

34%chance

17623

OptionVotes

YES

1043

865

Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?

Dec 18, 1:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.64%chance

12516

OptionVotes

YES

223

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 3:52 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10221

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2025-2027

Beyond 2030 (or never)

Before the end of 2024

Will an "data center utility cost protection" bill like the Guaranteeing Rate Insulation Act become law in 2026?

Jul 24, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.43%chance

9214

OptionVotes

YES

253

When will the default term of a U.S. utility patent first be anything other than 20 years?

Sep 1, 3:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1154

OptionProbability

2036 or later

2031-2035

2026-2030

2025 or earlier

Will Ann Arbor Michigan have a municipal electric utility by the end of 2029?

Dec 1, 1:28 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

65%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Option 1: Team A (The Firebrands: Sifuna/Babu/Arati/Orengo) - Resolves if Sifuna remains SG or ODM officially supports a presidential candidate (even from another party, e.g., Kalonzo Musyoka or Fred Matiang'i)with a nod from the firebrands

Option 2: Team B (The Broad-based: Wanga/Joho/Mbadi) - Resolves if a Team B member becomes SG or the party officially joins the Government coalition for 2027.

Option 3: Add names to complement your Team or suggest your prefered team formation and alignment

Utilities News

Prediction markets for Utilities

Prediction markets for Utilities

Prediction markets for Utilities

Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?

Will a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2026?

Will a self-replicating space probe capable of exploring and utilizing resources be created before 2040?

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

Will an "data center utility cost protection" bill like the Guaranteeing Rate Insulation Act become law in 2026?

When will the default term of a U.S. utility patent first be anything other than 20 years?

Will Ann Arbor Michigan have a municipal electric utility by the end of 2029?

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

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