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Prediction markets for Vanguard
Will Vanguard bring a Bitcoin ETF to market before Jan 1 2030?
Jan 11, 6:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
32.79%chance
10433498
OptionVotes
1594
1007
OptionVotes
1249
902
Will any top-20 US or Canadian brokerage publicly endorse an open investing-agent standard by the end of 2027?
May 11, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.26%chance
61214
OptionVotes
1655
604
OptionProbability
35
19
15
10
9
9
4
Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?
Jun 3, 2:50 PMJun 12, 10:00 PM
45%chance
20882
OptionVotes
111
90
Will the S&P500 outperform the total world stock market over the next 50 years?
Apr 4, 12:04 PMApr 3, 3:59 AM
68.95%chance
8135
OptionVotes
308
165
OptionVotes
130
77
OptionProbability
29
25
12
12
12
12
Average inflation-adjusted return of Vanguard Total World Stock ETF over the next 70 years (2025-2095)?
Jul 14, 10:39 AMJan 9, 6:59 AM
12
OptionProbability
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6


