OptionVotes
YES
NO
893
195
692
361
OptionProbability
June 1st
July 1st
May 1st
April 1st
66
8
4
Blue Owl
VARA (Value Aligned Research Advisors)
Situational Awareness LP
Jane Street
Hudson River Trading (HRT)
44
15
10
3
2
Other
None
Google
OpenPhil
OpenAI
Palisade
VARA
Anthropic
Lightcone
MIRI
Amazon (as a SWE-or-similar)
70