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Prediction markets for VARA

Will the Komodo Dragon (Varanus komodoensis) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 7, 3:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.81%chance

6658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

893

195

What's the next place I work for at least 6 months?

Nov 17, 9:20 PMNov 18, 7:59 AM

2186

OptionProbability

Other

None

Google

OpenPhil

OpenAI

Palisade

VARA

Anthropic

Lightcone

MIRI

Amazon (as a SWE-or-similar)

70

8

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Will the wild population of the Komodo Dragon (Varanus komodoensis) become Extinct by 2100?

Oct 29, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.32%chance

3162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

662

378

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