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Prediction markets for VAS

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Mar 23, 12:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.95%chance

218466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4931

204

Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?

May 10, 11:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.59%chance

15874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1273

873

Vasco Shot Stocks

May 10, 4:15 PMMay 10, 9:59 PM

12691

OptionProbability

NO

YES

316

155

Will Michael Vassar appear in the Epstein Files by 2029?

Nov 21, 5:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98.26%chance

4670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

751

13

Will "Evil is bad, actually (Vassar and Olivia Scha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 21, 5:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.85%chance

5543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1409

946

Will I have a fourth child before I get a vasectomy?

Dec 23, 7:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.54%chance

7366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

77

Vasco stocks

May 4, 12:33 AMMay 4, 3:59 AM

1100

OptionProbability

NO

YES

150

17

When will I acquire Florence Vassey as a blorbo?

Dec 21, 4:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

337

OptionProbability

Not anytime soon

Before April 2023

In 2024

In 2025-2026

In 2027-2030

April 2023 - January 2024

40

12

12

12

12

11

How many paying missions will Vast's Haven-1 host in it's first year?

Oct 11, 7:07 PMOct 19, 4:59 AM

335

OptionProbability

1

0

3

2

4

5

6+

22

20

18

17

9

7

7

Will Michael Vassar get unbanned from EAG by 2040?

Feb 11, 5:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.92%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

97

Will Michael Vassar's babby (#VassarBabby) go through at least one year of lecture-based K12 school?

Dec 17, 3:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.62%chance

311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will Michael Rae outlive Michael Vassar?

Sep 11, 2:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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