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Top stories

Dell’s AI-Centric Strategy Drives $10 Billion Revenue Growth With Superna Partnership and On-Premises AI Tools Despite Laptop Web Traffic Decline

Company Earnings

Dell’s AI-Centric Strategy Drives $10 Billion Revenue Growth With Superna Partnership and On-Premises AI Tools Despite Laptop Web Traffic Decline

Authors

6

8 months ago

Prediction markets for VAST Data

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.85%chance

8145087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33264

2509

By when will AI score >= 80% on FrontierMath

Nov 8, 9:58 PMNov 16, 7:59 AM

5113204

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2035

2050

2025

2024

42

32

13

5

2

2

2

1

0

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.64%chance

226982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3477

288

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.28%chance

244492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3573

281

Will retrieval-augmented-generation (RAG) still be used in 2026?

Aug 12, 4:11 PMDec 13, 4:59 AM

84.45%chance

201679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2372

437

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Apr 14, 7:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.82%chance

22556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

945

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?

Jun 1, 6:49 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

73.28%chance

13540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

231

100

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

Jun 1, 6:47 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.62%chance

6459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

196

74

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

43.99%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

99

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

85.2%chance

5137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

208

45

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?

Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

82.14%chance

265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

41

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.78%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

90

56

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