VC News
Prediction markets for VC
OptionVotes
2102
476
Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?
Dec 22, 1:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
78.33%chance
5711789
OptionVotes
1613
706
OptionVotes
1211
829
OptionProbability
85
6
4
4
By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended?
Feb 17, 6:30 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
65.64%chance
18725
OptionVotes
1056
839
Will biopharma VC funding in one year have exceeded $100 billion USD by 2030?
Mar 1, 3:19 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
69.92%chance
12366
OptionVotes
1067
956
OptionVotes
165
61
Will the VC 50 Years meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3?
Sep 21, 8:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.37%chance
256
OptionVotes
121
45
Will vcf files be replaced with a more elegant way of representing SNPs/genetic variants by 2030?
Oct 5, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
33.35%chance
350
OptionVotes
126
97
claude mcp for genome variant calling (or interacting with one's vcf/fastq files) by EOY2026?
Mar 2, 5:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.02%chance
220
OptionVotes
120
83
Is a major silicon valley VC fund involved in pederasty?
Nov 20, 8:07 AMDec 31, 12:58 PM
47.83%chance
110
OptionVotes
256
236
Will 1517 fund have above-average fund performance (for a VC fund) by EOY2029?
Feb 26, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100