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Prediction markets for Venture Fund

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.44%chance

213540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

971

Will micro-nations become the new startups by 2030?

Jan 27, 12:06 PMFeb 4, 4:59 AM

13.34%chance

231905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

953

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.04%chance

19864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1499

808

Will I get into Stanford as a Transfer Undergraduate

Feb 2, 2:08 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

9806

OptionProbability

Acceptance

Rejection

Waitlist

46

38

16

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Nov 20, 8:19 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

68.91%chance

19761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

By 2034, what is the probability that a dollar donated to Daffy will be used for unintended purposes?

Mar 9, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.31%chance

5490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

588

78

Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?

Jul 3, 9:49 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

40.69%chance

3391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

922

Will Jaival Patel win a Thiel Fellowship, Emergent Ventures, Brains Fellows, or Flux Capacitor funding by 2030?

Jun 10, 12:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

Dec 11, 8:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10

Help my startup stay alive! (please)

Jan 11, 8:16 PM

00

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