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Top stories

ConocoPhillips Doubles LNG Purchase to 9M Tons from Sempra’s Texas Port Arthur Phase 2 Project Amid Tokyo Gas Deal

ConocoPhillips Doubles LNG Purchase to 9M Tons from Sempra’s Texas Port Arthur Phase 2 Project Amid Tokyo Gas Deal

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Venture Global

Will Balaji's Network School announce a shutdown or relocation away from Malaysia before the end of 2028?

Jul 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.1%chance

44220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4962

202

Will Cari Tuna (Open Philanthropy, Good Ventures) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.11%chance

11665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

951

Will Dustin Moskovitz (Facebook, Open Philanthropy, Good Ventures) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 5:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.76%chance

6634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

332

131

Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.11%chance

7569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1532

653

Will Chris Burniske (partner at Placeholder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 18, 1:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.14%chance

5519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

103

Will bioengineering plastic digesting microbes become profitable?

Dec 31, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16432

OptionProbability

by the end of 2034

by the end of 2050

never

by the end of 2024

56

35

7

2

Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028?

Feb 9, 8:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

37.87%chance

8203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

681

432

Will Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) direct ≥$1.5B in grants in 2026?

Jul 21, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.75%chance

9131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will there be 2000 or more Five Guys locations open worldwide on Jan 1st 2029?

Dec 2, 8:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.16%chance

10103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

158

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