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Prediction markets for Verifier Alliance

Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?

Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM

102684

OptionProbability

Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.

Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight

It will be stalemate

69

19

12

Will a country leave NATO this year?

Jan 6, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.19%chance

281861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

359

28

German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)

Oct 27, 10:27 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6.46%chance

181819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

380

26

Will the government of a European country propose to withdraw from NATO before August 1, 2026?

Apr 7, 11:50 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

8.38%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

30

Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?

Apr 19, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Feb 10, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Tapio Schneider win the Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal by EOY2045?

Apr 18, 7:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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