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Prediction markets for Verse

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.86%chance

983744074

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10719

9239

Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?

Dec 29, 4:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.81%chance

493250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1848

300

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Jan 2, 9:38 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.46%chance

131749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

1194

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.56%chance

421535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

884

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 12:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13783

OptionProbability

Pinterest

Discord

Twitch

VerSe Innovation Josh

Baidu Tieba

Rakuten Viber

PageBites imo

Xiaohongshu

Likee

Picsart

Vevo

VK

Line by Naver

Threads

Bluesky

Microsoft Teams

Tumblr

Manifold

Quora

Microsoft Skype

81

74

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

46

46

40

38

26

12

5

1

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 release before Spider-Man: Beyond the spider-verse?

Jun 22, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.17%chance

5250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

231

173

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.42%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

Will the Podfic version of Animorphs: The Reckoning finish by January 1st, 2028?

Aug 14, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.77%chance

1135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

882

Will the next version of the C programming language (C2y) include a "defer" feature?

Apr 22, 6:20 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

55.76%chance

5127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1133

901

Will there be a Morbius cameo in Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse?

Jun 15, 11:38 PMJun 18, 4:00 AM

25.31%chance

7103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

128

Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse?

Jun 22, 5:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.06%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

557

451

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed again?

Apr 27, 1:16 PMJun 18, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

No, it will release on June 18, 2027

Yes, by less than two months

Yes, by 2-6 months

Yes, by 6-12 months

Yes, by more than 12 months

Yes, it will be removed from the release schedule entirely

50

50

50

50

41

17

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