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Prediction markets for Verse

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.42%chance

976741418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10003

9896

Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?

Dec 29, 4:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.81%chance

493250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1848

300

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Jan 2, 9:38 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.46%chance

131749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

1194

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.56%chance

421535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

884

Will Anthropic release a model with a higher version number than 4.6 by April 15th?

Mar 17, 8:24 PMApr 16, 2:59 AM

37.61%chance

251376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1288

776

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 12:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10669

OptionProbability

Discord

Twitch

VerSe Innovation Josh

Baidu Tieba

Rakuten Viber

PageBites imo

Xiaohongshu

Likee

Picsart

Vevo

VK

Pinterest

Line by Naver

Threads

Bluesky

Microsoft Teams

Tumblr

Manifold

Quora

Microsoft Skype

74

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

46

46

46

40

38

26

12

5

1

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 release before Spider-Man: Beyond the spider-verse?

Jun 22, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.17%chance

5250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

231

173

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.42%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

Will the Podfic version of Animorphs: The Reckoning finish by January 1st, 2028?

Aug 14, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.77%chance

1135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

882

Will the next version of the C programming language (C2y) include a "defer" feature?

Apr 22, 6:20 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

55.76%chance

5127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1133

901

Will there be a Morbius cameo in Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse?

Jun 15, 11:38 PMJun 18, 4:00 AM

25.31%chance

7103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

128

Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse?

Jun 22, 5:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.06%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

557

451

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