Vertice News

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Feb 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10217400

OptionProbability

AI + Quantum Computing

Bitcoin + AI

Energy harvesting + sensor ubiquity

AI + Medicine

AI + Genetics

AI + Robotics

AI + Spatial Computing

Social media + AI

AI + Internet

Bitcoin + XR

AI + Advanced Materials

AI + Physics

Fintech + AI

Quantum Computing + Materials Science

AI+Blockchain

3D Printing + Materials Science

BCI + Internet

Mobile Technology + Social Media

XR + AI

AI + Prediction Markets

AI + IoT

AI + Bioengineering

AI + VR

Nuclear Energy + Transportation

Wearable Technology + Telemedicine

GPS + Real-time Traffic Data

Haptics + BCI

AI + fossil fuels

Vertical farming + Solar

BCI + Remote sensing

Decentralized IP Verification and Education (Blockchain Credentials)

BCI + Dating Apps

Predictive Markets and Constitutional Alignment of AI

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

92218

OptionVotes

YES

3000

333

Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?

Mar 25, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.29%chance

211908

OptionVotes

YES

1448

691

Will I find proof of a mushroom at least a meter tall?

Oct 21, 2:12 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.41%chance

14616

OptionVotes

YES

1322

902

Will I be able to get a ~140x50cm curved monitor before 2028?

Nov 27, 4:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.12%chance

4536

OptionVotes

YES

1454

688

How will the first artificial molecular assembler be constructed?

Aug 20, 4:59 AMDec 20, 7:59 AM

19354

OptionProbability

Protein Synthesis (e.g. DNA origami, RNA tiles)

Other

Additive Photolithography (e.g. 1 or 2-photon polymerization)

Vapor Deposition (e.g. CVD, PVD, ...)

Subtractive Photolithography (e.g. EUV photoresist)

Scanning Probe Microscopy (e.g. AFM/STM vertical atom manipulation)

Peptidomimetic Macrocycles (e.g. spiroligomer-based membranes)

Focused Ion Beam (e.g. sputtering or metal deposition)

The US becomes much more like Shadowrun by the end of 2029

Jan 1, 3:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

2274

OptionVotes

YES

1248

802

Is Hadwiger's conjecture true?

Apr 10, 9:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.87%chance

10179

OptionVotes

YES

1036

968

Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?

Mar 6, 5:20 PMMar 7, 6:59 AM

45.8%chance

5122

OptionVotes

YES

1093

924

In Jan 2028, will prediction markets occupy a new product vertical? [Resolves to Poll]

Sep 26, 12:57 AMOct 3, 6:59 AM

33%chance

3109

OptionVotes

YES

Will SpaceX deploy an in-house turbine generator to a data center before Boom Supersonic?

Sep 1, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.04%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

729

677

There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030

Sep 24, 3:33 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

52.54%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

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Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?

Will I find proof of a mushroom at least a meter tall?

Will I be able to get a ~140x50cm curved monitor before 2028?

How will the first artificial molecular assembler be constructed?

The US becomes much more like Shadowrun by the end of 2029

Is Hadwiger's conjecture true?

Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?

In Jan 2028, will prediction markets occupy a new product vertical? [Resolves to Poll]

Will SpaceX deploy an in-house turbine generator to a data center before Boom Supersonic?

There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030

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