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Prediction markets for Vibe Code

Words of the Year 2026 🥇📝

Dec 28, 6:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

267875

OptionProbability

maxxing

looksmaxxing

agentic

datacenter

clanker

certified human

aura farming

imperial overreach

synthetic

delegated self

regime change

appeasement

model drift

diddyblud

boymoder

dwerking

lowkenuinely

100

47

42

27

20

13

10

10

9

7

7

6

5

5

4

3

3

Will studyofus.com (Aella's face-ranking site) have a serious data leak before 2027?

Sep 2, 4:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.22%chance

114475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4067

684

Will a single model have all the upsides o1-style RL with none of the downsides at 2027?

Nov 20, 5:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.39%chance

154377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1704

587

Will Elon flip parties again before 2033?

Apr 18, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.81%chance

283670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2012

497

Vibe-coding software reaches 100M+ MAU (summed across all platforms) by 2026 EOY?

Oct 22, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.03%chance

6700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

90

How long until someone vibe codes a robot that accidentally kills them?

May 2, 8:47 AMDec 31, 10:23 PM

16510

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

41

32

25

8

4

Will my vibe-coded power supply explode?

Oct 28, 7:04 PMNov 18, 7:02 PM

19.19%chance

17470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

Will my vibe-coded Kalshi algorithm be profitable?

Jan 1, 10:21 AMDec 31, 10:18 AM

34.64%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

By 2028, will any coding copilot look more like "pairing with an LLM" than "smart autocomplete"?

Oct 5, 4:35 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

90.97%chance

9376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

386

144

Will it be possible to vibe code a Grand Theft Auto-scope+style game "in a few minutes" before GTA 6 releases?

Jan 13, 12:44 AMNov 19, 11:59 PM

2.29%chance

8196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

96

Which dictionaries will pick an AI-related 2026 Word of the Year?

Nov 7, 8:26 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

125

OptionProbability

Oxford shortlist

Oxford

Merriam-Webster

Macquarie

59

50

41

41

Where do you expect Rust to rank among programming languages for “vibe coding” in 2027?

Jan 20, 9:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70

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