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Prediction markets for VICE

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5014496

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump Jr.

J.D. Vance

Vivek Ramaswamy

Eric Trump

Ron DeSantis

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump

Ivanka Trump

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Greg Abbott

Glenn Youngkin

55

13

8

7

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?

Jan 27, 11:21 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

27.15%chance

757189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

929

Who will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Vice-President in 2028?

Apr 8, 1:57 AMSep 2, 6:59 AM

444139

OptionProbability

Other

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Gretchen Whitmer

Andy Beshear

Josh Shapiro

Raphael Warnock

Gavin Newsom

JB Pritzker

Abigail Spanberger

Wes Moore

Kamala Harris

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

Ro Khanna

Hakeem Jeffries

Mark Cuban

Jamie Dimon

Chris Van Hollen

Rob sand

Jacob Frey

36

13

12

6

6

5

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will JD Vance resign as US Vice President during Trump's second term?

Nov 6, 7:39 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

14.14%chance

223596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2465

406

Will Kendrick Lamar feature Drake (or vice versa), on a new track before 2030?

May 4, 6:43 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

8.85%chance

162229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2820

598

Who will be the Democratic nominee for vice president in the 2028 U.S. elections?

Apr 30, 3:08 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

312099

OptionProbability

Other

Gretchen Whitmer

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Jasmine Crockett

Gavin Newsom

Wes Moore

Adam Schiff

Kirsten Gillibrand

Zohran Mamdani

Graham Platner

Tim Walz

58

10

9

5

5

4

3

3

1

1

1

1

0

Will Kamala Harris (American Vice President, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.57%chance

301939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2065

895

If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?

Jan 20, 11:48 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

131477

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Doug Burgum

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

73

8

8

7

4

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) become vice president of the United States before she turns 70?

Apr 5, 9:07 PMOct 14, 3:59 AM

22.51%chance

22809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

769

Will "7 Vicious Vices of Rationalists" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 17, 9:51 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

8.34%chance

2650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1650

922

Will there be a female U.S. president and a female U.S. vice president concurrently in office by 2050?

May 29, 4:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.6%chance

21572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

926

Will Gavin Newsom be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?

Aug 6, 3:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

14297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

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