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Prediction markets for VICE

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4312757

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump Jr.

J.D. Vance

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Eric Trump

Ivanka Trump

Ron DeSantis

Greg Abbott

Tucker Carlson

50

13

12

9

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?

Jan 27, 11:21 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

27.15%chance

757189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

929

Will JD Vance resign as US Vice President during Trump's second term?

Nov 6, 7:39 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

11.27%chance

213383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2806

356

Will Kendrick Lamar feature Drake (or vice versa), on a new track before 2030?

May 4, 6:43 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

8.85%chance

162229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2820

598

Who will be the Democratic nominee for vice president in the 2028 U.S. elections?

Apr 30, 3:08 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

262044

OptionProbability

Other

Josh Shapiro

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Gretchen Whitmer

Pete Buttigieg

Jasmine Crockett

Wes Moore

Gavin Newsom

Adam Schiff

Kirsten Gillibrand

Zohran Mamdani

Graham Platner

Tim Walz

68

6

6

4

4

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will Kamala Harris (American Vice President, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.57%chance

301939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2065

895

Will MrBeast be elected President or Vice President of the United States before 2100?

Jul 2, 5:31 AMJul 9, 6:59 AM

7.63%chance

171794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

29

If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?

Jan 20, 11:48 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

111451

OptionProbability

Other

Doug Burgum

Marco Rubio

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

72

9

8

7

4

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) become vice president of the United States before she turns 70?

Apr 5, 9:07 PMOct 14, 3:59 AM

22.51%chance

22809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

769

Will "7 Vicious Vices of Rationalists" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 17, 9:51 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

8.34%chance

2650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1650

922

Will there be a female U.S. president and a female U.S. vice president concurrently in office by 2050?

May 29, 4:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.6%chance

21572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

926

2028 US Vice Presidential Election winner?

Sep 2, 5:58 AMNov 5, 11:59 PM

10283

OptionProbability

Other

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Marco Rubio

Gavin Newsom

JD Vance

61

18

5

5

5

4

2

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