OptionProbability
NO
YES
459
432
NVIDIA
Alphabet
Apple
Microsoft
Amazon
Broadcom
Tesla
93
89
86
84
77
21
9
Above $500
$450 - $500
$400 - $449
$350 - $399
$250 - $299
$300 - $349
$150 - $199
$200 - $249
Below $100
$100 - $149
62
8
6
5
4
3
2
OptionVotes
107
X maintains higher daily active users than Threads through mid-2026
Another platform (not Threads or Bluesky) overtakes X by mid-2026
Threads overtakes X in daily active users by mid-2026
Bluesky overtakes X in daily active users by mid-2026
X and Threads reach parity in daily active users by mid-2026
Market resolves N/A due to unclear measurement methodology
Other
50
45
1
