OptionProbability
Above $500
Below $100
$100 - $149
$150 - $199
$200 - $249
$250 - $299
$300 - $349
$350 - $399
$400 - $449
$450 - $500
99
0
NO
YES
459
432
2.0T - 2.499T
1.75T - 1.999T
2.5T - 2.999T
1.5T - 1.749T
1.25T - 1.499T
3T - 3.999T
Other
1.0T - 1.249T
0.75T - 0.999T
Below 0.5T
0.5T - 0.749T
26
20
19
16
4
3
2
1
NVIDIA
Alphabet
Apple
Microsoft
Amazon
Broadcom
Tesla
95
89
88
84
75
37
OptionVotes
120
83
X maintains higher daily active users than Threads through mid-2026
Another platform (not Threads or Bluesky) overtakes X by mid-2026
Threads overtakes X in daily active users by mid-2026
Bluesky overtakes X in daily active users by mid-2026
X and Threads reach parity in daily active users by mid-2026
Market resolves N/A due to unclear measurement methodology
66
29