OptionProbability
NO
YES
459
432
NVIDIA
Alphabet
Microsoft
Apple
Amazon
Broadcom
Tesla
90
85
84
82
75
13
11
OptionVotes
320
31
X maintains higher daily active users than Threads through mid-2026
Threads overtakes X in daily active users by mid-2026
X and Threads reach parity in daily active users by mid-2026
Market resolves N/A due to unclear measurement methodology
Bluesky overtakes X in daily active users by mid-2026
Another platform (not Threads or Bluesky) overtakes X by mid-2026
Other
56
20
6
2
