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Prediction markets for VU

Will the Red Fox (Vulpes vulpes) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 8, 8:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.49%chance

82413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2872

296

In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?

Mar 28, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

182071

OptionProbability

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2025-2029

2045-2050

48

16

16

13

7

Will vue.js bypass JQuery in popularity by 2030?

Jan 4, 8:13 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.46%chance

141302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

875

Will Pete Hegseth write or say the words "Deus vult" while Secretary of Defence?

Jan 25, 1:40 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

17.42%chance

25763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

46

Will Israel–Premier Tech race at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?

Sep 15, 3:15 AMSep 29, 11:59 PM

3.06%chance

2582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

563

18

Will GiveWell or Open Philanthropy fund/recommend interventions aimed at conservation of keystone species (such as vultures) by January 2030?

Jan 18, 8:44 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.36%chance

11571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1322

912

Will Signal be revealed to have a major undisclosed vulnerability by 2035?

Sep 18, 3:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.15%chance

10138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will Bernard Arnault (CEO of Louis Vuitton) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 21, 2:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.13%chance

4112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

55

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.1%chance

2102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

Will a stage at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana be cut short due to pro-Palestine protests?

Sep 15, 3:21 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

58.35%chance

352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

84

Will a new Critical vulnerability affecting the React library be listed on NIST NVD by 2026 03 31?

Dec 10, 10:26 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

36.46%chance

132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will Vulcan ever suffer an anomaly?

May 23, 5:34 AMDec 31, 6:08 AM

60.98%chance

325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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