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Prediction markets for VU

Who will win the 2025 Vuelta a Espana?

Jan 16, 5:44 PMSep 15, 3:59 AM

3511285

OptionProbability

Jonas Vingegaard

Joao Almeida

Juan Ayuso

Other

Tadej Pogacar

Enric Mas

Carlos Rodriguez

Lennert Van Eetvelt

Jai Hindley

72

10

9

7

0

0

0

0

0

Will ULA's Vulcan rocket launch more often than SpaceX's Starship in 2025?

Oct 22, 7:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.9%chance

166405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2859

350

In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?

Mar 28, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

182065

Will George Floyd reincarnate as a vulture by the end of 2025

May 7, 6:56 PMDec 31, 7:55 PM

2.43%chance

141390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

634

16

Will vue.js bypass JQuery in popularity by 2030?

Jan 4, 8:13 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.46%chance

141302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

875

Who will come second in the 2025 Vuelta a Espana?

Aug 1, 1:41 AMSep 14, 11:59 PM

81000

OptionProbability

Joao Almeida

Juan Ayuso

Other

Richard Carapaz

Jonas Vingegaard

Mikel Landa

Egan Bernal

Tom Pidcock

Carlos Rodríguez

Jai Hindley

Felix Gall

Tao Geoghegan Hart

Derek Gee

Enric Mas

35

31

8

7

6

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will GiveWell or Open Philanthropy fund/recommend interventions aimed at conservation of keystone species (such as vultures) by January 2030?

Jan 18, 8:44 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.36%chance

11571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1322

912

Infrastructure hacking linked to TETRA vulnerability leads to loss of life (before 2026)

Jan 7, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.51%chance

6326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

253

42

Will code vulnerabilities (CVE records) more then double in 2025?

Mar 25, 12:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.5%chance

6124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.1%chance

2102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

Will Hack Club experience a severe vulnerability by the end of 2026?

Jul 12, 1:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.45%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will Vulcan ever suffer an anomaly?

May 23, 5:34 AMDec 31, 6:08 AM

60.98%chance

325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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