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Prediction markets for Wage and Hour

Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?

Dec 23, 9:10 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

91%chance

231906

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

824

2025 Salaries by Occupation

Feb 6, 7:48 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

8336

OptionProbability

[29-1212] Cardiologists

[29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

[15-2051] Data Scientists

[15-1252] Software Developers

[15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

[19-3011] Economists

[27-1024] Graphic Designers

92

82

36

31

28

26

26

2040 Salaries by Occupation

Feb 6, 7:53 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

7219

OptionProbability

[29-1212] Cardiologists

[19-3011] Economists

[29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

[15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

[15-1252] Software Developers

[15-2051] Data Scientists

[27-1024] Graphic Designers

87

72

66

54

43

36

24

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.62%chance

5146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

2030 Salaries by Occupation

Feb 6, 7:52 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

3120

OptionProbability

[29-1212] Cardiologists

[29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

[19-3011] Economists

[15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

[15-1252] Software Developers

[15-2051] Data Scientists

[27-1024] Graphic Designers

85

76

66

34

34

34

24

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

22.3%chance

2110

OptionProbability

YES

NO

193

42

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

21.2%chance

2102

OptionProbability

YES

NO

199

40

Will any US state reduce the standard workweek to 35 hours/week or less by the end of 2030?

Sep 28, 10:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

37.97%chance

998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

162

2035 Salaries by Occupation

Feb 6, 7:53 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

675

OptionProbability

[29-1212] Cardiologists

[29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

[47-2152] Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

[15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

[15-1252] Software Developers

[15-2051] Data Scientists

[19-3011] Economists

[27-1024] Graphic Designers

81

66

60

50

50

50

47

25

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

320

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